Agree with you on the fact that there’ll be no WW3 (despite it [assuming nuclear exchanges] probably being the quickest way to halt global warming for a time, and helping my boy Xi out), though feel it’s more for pragmatic reasons: why the fuck would anyone want another Land War in Asia™️, especially at the behest of neonazis?
One thing that’s completely missing from the discussion on Ukraine in the MSM is how that the majority of the partisans and irregular militias in Ukraine are the kinds of people who think that Brenton Tarrant did nothing wrong, and worry about Jewish Conspiracies™️. Are they really the kinds of people you’re willing to fight and die for, let alone give access to weaponry that anti-gun shitbags say “dOn’T bElOnG iN cIvIlIaN hAnDs!”
What’s likely to happen is Russia will take the rebel areas and have them become their own countries (with limited recognition, obviously), and Ukraine will be taken over by ethno-nationalists who will likely deport the Jews and Roma, and build statues to honour Brenton Tarrant. The West will REEE about it, but what can it do? It’s either that or Russia owns the whole country; and that’s the best outcome.
The next-‘best’ outcome is Syria 2: Proxy War Boogaloo (starring actual Boogaloo members, ironically enough), where the entire country is thrown into chaos and civil war…where the West will wish Ukrainian Hitler took power there.