> It's early polling but first round results of the French legislative elections released by TF1 suggest a huge result for the National Rally, with 34.5% of the vote. The left-wing New Popular Front alliance has 28.5% of the vote and Macron's party has 22.5% of the vote.
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> Very likely Macron may not be able to govern at all in his last three years.
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> The fact that turnout was huge is...not great for him.
To elaborate on that, 76 representatives got elected in the first round (meaning they got an absolute majority of the vote in their constituencies), 39 of which are RN (including Marine Le Pen herself) while 32 of them are NFP (among which LFI higher-ups Clémentine Autain, Manuel Bompard, Sophia Chikirou, Eric Coquerel, Danièle Obono and Mathilde Panot, as well as Olivier Faure for the socialists and Sandrine Rousseau for the ecologists) and only *two* belong to the presidential (former) majority (the remaining three are right-wingers, only one of which was endorsed by Les Républicains).
Out of the 500 or so remaining contests in the runoff next week, about 300 of them will be three-way battles (or even four-way in some places), an exceptionally high number due to the turnout (candidates who get an amount of votes inferior to 12.5% of the total number of registered voters are eliminated from the runoff) which reached 65.5% — for reference, it was 47.5% two years ago.
Both the NFP and the presidential camp (after some hesitation for the latter) have given instructions to any of their candidates who came in third place to drop out of the runoff, in order to avoid splitting the vote between them and block the RN from winning (meaning that, despite leading in nearly 300 constituencies, their hopes for an absolute majority at the end of the second round might — and hopefully should — end up dashed).