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What do you think 2021 will bring us?

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Atlas_66
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@nongsini112  
“you are an experienced spiritual capitalist”
 
Yes) I self-identify myself as a person of ultra-right views, but again, here I have to immediately explain that in my understanding, in my discourse, let’s say the same National Socialists are not ultra-right, because people cannot be called “ultra-right. right-wing “who stand for a VERY left-wing economic model (restriction of reintability, mixed economy with a predominance of the public sector) That is, these people are not right in my understanding, the fascists are not right.  
And again, this is not just some kind of blame for me)) I am bringing a certain theoretical basis under this, because I have my own definitions, the right ones are those who advocate the prevalence of private interests over collective interests in politics and economics, and the left accordingly, these are those who favor the prevalence of public interests over private ones.  
From the point of view of classical definitions, the classical division into right and left, we should identify modern political trends with right or left discourse, depending on who they are genetically descended from those who at one time sat in the French parliament either from the right or from the left. … Again, Julius Evola, for example, stated that German National Socialism is just a chauvinistic version of the Jacobin dictatorship, and one can also say that these leftist totalitarian movements, their characteristic feature is an appeal to a certain oppressed mass and rhetoric aimed at the emancipation of this mass, that is, it is the involvement of broad peoples in politics and the use of the oppressed masses as a locomotive for social and cultural transformations.
 
There are no broad political movements that would be purely left or purely right. Because any major political movement always includes elements of both discourse.  
The same Stalin, for example, other communists are so-called non-authoritarian Marxists, they consider him a very right-wing politician because he created a tough system of party hierarchy (Trotsky, as one of the examples of radical Marxists, the left wing of the party and they just accused Stalin that Stalin was right)
 
So, again, I spread my thoughts along the tree for a very long time, I probably tired you))
 
“but we couldn’t change the other person’s point of view.”
 
Why change the point of view of another person? For example, I don’t have such a goal, I just thought that, for example, at least one representative of the Marxist platform would tell me how communism would work, but in response I just heard Marxist terms and religious dagmata from the Bible (more precisely, from the book of Marx, which in principle is the same)  
Sorry, I am atheistic, and for me Marxist theories are not authoritative argumentation.  
I have no faith in these dogmas about the bourgeoisie and the proletariat (and I remind you that Karl Marx was not an economist)
 
“You have stepped on all the red lines”
 
English is not my native language and I cannot understand all dialects, what are the red lines, and what do you mean? O_O
 
“I didn’t directly say your speeches are bullshit.”
 
Well, well, you didn’t say that, but I didn’t understand why you said it, well, you didn’t say it or said it)) I know you didn’t say that. For example, I respect you as a person, but your views are complete nonsense, respectively, you also think and vice versa, my views are wild and completely opposite for you. It is important to separate the views of a person from his personality.
 
“Wait,what did you said? Socialist countries are very poor.Because they are at a disadvantage before they have an ideology.”
 
No, the socialist countries are poor because there is a state-capitalist or quasi-socialist system that is completely based on a planned economy, where there are no market elements. That is, a 100% state plan, where there is no competition in the market, only a single state monopoly on the grain trade.
 
Most importantly, modern socialist agitators are all very typical and similar to each other, they do not care about the experience of the 20th century, this experience is not relevant for them, they ignore it, they absolutely do not care about history and practice. Or if they see the poor socialist countries, they say this is not correct socialism, but in the future it will be correct, let us build socialism again. And when again there will be many victims, hunger and poverty in this socialist country, again there will be mass murder of people in the form of political repression, all these modern socialists will say “Oh, this was NOT correct socialism! Let us build it again” “And this one is also not correct , give me more”  
In general, socialists are like flies, banging their foreheads against the glass over and over again and do not learn anything.
 
“The Russian Empire is actually a very underdeveloped capitalist country.”
 
Here I disagree) in Soviet historiography, this country was presented as a poor, terrible country, but if the question goes deeper, although it lagged behind Germany or Great Britain, it was rapidly catching up.  
Here’s a very interesting video on YouTube about industrialization, here is English subtitles, this is a very large and complex topic, but in general, the conclusions are as follows, if it were not for the Bolsheviks who came to power, led by Lenin, then industrialization would have been even stronger in Russia, and the Soviet party nomenclature only slowed down progress:
 
Industrialization. Part 1. Myths about pre-revolutionary Russia and the Witte-Stolypin reforms.  
www.youtube.com/watch?v=HD9ppMXSYmg&t= (figures, facts, statistics)
 
“Do the historical nihilists like you don’t even believe that the Soviet Red Army put the red flag on the House of Parliament?”
 
wow, seriously?) wow, where did I say that? By the way, I had two great-grandfathers at the front, they fought against the Nazis, and I think they are heroes, in general, everyone in the Red Army who fought against the Nazis, they are heroes who defeated the Third Reich, but the Soviet Union paid dearly for this victory.  
And those who do not believe that the soldiers of the red army set the red flag, well .. they are very stupid people who have not watched any lectures, have not read any books.
 
If we take the First World War, then the Russian Empire was already clear that it would defeat the German Empire, and Russia then demanded a lot of territories, it was not profitable for the allied countries. But Lenin arrived in a sealed carriage through Germany, they let them through their territory, even Germany then sponsored the revolution, and right during the war a revolution took place, the Bolsheviks illegally seized power.
 
“You said you “love” China,You just admire PRC’s comprehensive national strength but denies the reason for PRC’s strong comprehensive national power.”
 
Mao Zedong was a very stupid ruler with his “socialism” Then Deng Xiaoping came, he is clearly a very smart man, brought capitalism, a market economy to the country, attracted foreign investment, well done, I respect him.  
If China still had “socialism”, the population would have remained in poverty, and Chinese tourists would not have traveled around the world with high salaries. (:
nongsini112

@Atlas_66  
After reading your funny speeches,I found you are an experienced spiritual capitalist,hhhh Here comes the applause~~Talking about politics with people of different ideologies like you is a waste of time. We all spent time thinking and texting, but we couldn’t change the other person’s point of view.You guys throught the history is over (@ Francis Fukuyama) Just keep your opinion,time will answer it.You have stepped on all the red lines that should not be touched.I respect you, I didn’t directly say your speeches are bullshit.
 
Wait,what did you said? Socialist countries are very poor.Because they are at a disadvantage before they have an ideology.The Russian Empire is actually a very underdeveloped capitalist country. The legacy of the feudal serf system is deep.Are the advantages created by capitalist powers since the Industrial Revolution is easy to catch up? we have to prevent capitalist countries from subverting the regime.If someone understanding it as a system defect,how smart he/she is!
 
conclusion:  
Qing Dynasty beats the Republic (take out the data in 1895 and compare the data in 1912)  
People miss the powerful Qing Dynasty  
Qing Dynasty: I have my own national conditions here, the revolutionary party must die
 
Oops,sorry I shouldn’t explain it to you,you won’t belive it at all.Do the historical nihilists like you don’t even believe that the Soviet Red Army put the red flag on the House of Parliament?GG You said you “love” China,You just admire PRC’s comprehensive national strength but denies the reason for PRC’s strong comprehensive national power.
 
Sorry for wasting your time,there is nothing to argue with you.Believe it or not.Bye
Atlas_66
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@Krunched  
“Communism can actually succeed in that case.”
 
  • Communism is a utopia, a fairy tale that has nothing to do with reality, and so far I do not see more than one argument in favor of this fantasy.
Atlas_66
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@nongsini112  
1,Socialism distribute personal consumer goods according to work.(a basic economic law of socialism)The essence of socialism is to liberate productive forces, develop productive forces, eliminate exploitation, eliminate polarization, and ultimately achieve common prosperity.
 
Yes, I already understood that socialism is universal prosperity and heavenly dreams from Jesus, but all these fantasy fantasies, they must be based on something. That is, as it were, it is necessary to show statistics, they say, we will work this way and that, this is how this plan will look, this plan will allow people to have access to such and such material benefits. But instead, there is some kind of set and stream of unfounded statements that are not based on anything.  
I can also say this: under capitalism there are no poor, all people live richly, everything is wonderful and everyone eats deliciously, everyone flies to the moon and Mars on personal rockets.  
That is, it is also not based on anything, it is the same stream of unfounded statements.
 
2,The direct wage gap has nothing to do with the social system.Wages are directly related to the labor value you create and many other factor(Working time,location,your experence,education,opportunity)…
 
We have a situation in which there are different subjects with different abilities and different contributions to a certain common piggy bank of the public domain, that is, if we assess their work adequately, we reward them adequately, their contributions to public affairs are adequate to their work, then it turns out that we have to pay someone higher, someone less high salary, someone will be richer, someone will be poorer - This is called property stratification, that is, it turns out that we consider socialism in this way, then under socialism there will be both rich and poor.  
Well, if you are not socialists aspiring to receive the same salary, it turns out that in a socialist society different people will receive different salaries. It turns out that in a socialist society there will be property stratification, there will be rich and there will be poor.  
The question arises as to what forces within society will have to prevent the transition of property stratification into social stratification.  
What do we get?) A rigid repressive apparatus called the “state” which would prevent the transition from material stratification to social stratification. That is, this repressive apparatus, it turns out, will act contrary to the interests of the most effective subjects of economic relations. It turns out you will have to carry out some kind of redistribution of profits from the rich to the poor, over and over again. Or some kind of alternative vision of the situation?) Very interesting))  
For this is very similar to how to ask a question about the factors of material incentives for labor, and they answer me - Well, the salary, as it were), Those who work better will get more money, those who work less will receive less money. But, in fact, this principle works great under capitalism.  
Because the more effective subjects of the capitalist economy, they give concerts in their hands, and the less efficient ones, they seem to have less money, everything is logical.
 
 
3,“surplus income is redistributed to your less successful brothers or people from other segments economics” Yes,meeting the development needs of the non-material production sector,because departments such as culture and education, medical and health, state administration, national defense and security do not make money
 
It turns out that there is a certain state cudgel, which is constantly lifted over the heads of people, and redistributes income from the rich to the poor, that is, it turns out that the more effective subjects of economic relations, just this state cudgel that redistributes everything destructively, it is NOT PROFITABLE, and is aimed at so that they can withdraw their surplus income and redistribute it to the poor. That is, to the least successful subjects of economic relations.  
Then the question arises with which we started, namely, the factors of material incentives for labor, because if you work the best, you get the highest salary, but after that, destructively, your surplus income is redistributed to your less successful brothers or people from other segments economy.  
The question is, where do you get the motivation to work? That is, in fact, here we are talking about a progressive taxation scale, you work more, pay more taxes, but what about the incentive to work more?
 
 
4,About working motivation:The motivation for work comes from internal pressure, external motivation and attractiveness of work.It’s ture that you work more,earn more money,pay more taxes,but your standard of living has improved.
 
Yes, this principle works great under capitalism) The only motivation for work is money, the more money you pay, the more responsible and difficult the work.
 
“This is the essence of socialism——-Common prosperity.”
 
Great) but this is a fantasy, this dude is inventing shit out of his head, it has nothing to do with anything that can be observed in practice. That is, to say what socialism offers is the same as to say what Jesus offers, let’s listen to Jesus) right now he will tell us everything.  
Such a society exists, but not as a society, but only as a fantasy in its head, that is, it is a religious myth.  
The problem is that this is just a fantasy that does not agree at all with something that could somehow be tested in practice or something else. That is, modern communist agitators, they have rhetoric like some Christian preachers like I will paint you such a blissful picture of paradise that everything will be wonderful and that you all believe in my God. Well, yes, but all this is a lie, it must be based on something, as they say, “practice criteria are true” It is not enough just to say that like a communist society will provide you all and that is how this society will work. This is NOT enough because you are not proving anything) this is not an argument to just promise people good conditions.
 
If the whole essence of socialism is in general prosperity, then those countries where socialism, there, for some unknown reason, only the party elite flourishes.  
Again, practice is the criterion of truth, and in practice all socialist countries are poor)
 
I personally learned a lot about your fantasies from my head. But the problem is that this is not how it does not correlate with REAL practice, in general with what is happening in the world. And so yes) remarkably simple))  
I just thought that now they will explain to me about communism, maybe I am wrong somewhere, but so far all that I saw is some kind of fantasy.
Atlas_66
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@nongsini112  
I apologize for such a long answer, I forgot about you and was busy with my own business (:
 
“1, you know that the social system is divided into political and economic systems, in fact, the market economy is working, which is controlled by the government. this system is the most appropriate level of labor productivity development in the world at present. Not by the capitalist system itself.  
What do you mean that better hasn’t been invented yet.? A brand new social systrome?”

 
The market economy is good, the main thing is you are not talking about the planned one. And what is better now for the whole world, I will not say because I am not an economist and I am not competent to discuss this topic. I only look at the history and experience of other countries, but as they say “practice is the criterion of truth”  
So far, the best thing that works is capitalism, of course it has drawbacks, but if you criticize - suggest, suggest an economic system better than capitalism.  
Capitalism is when you create favorable conditions for the manifestation of new subjects of economic relations, a favorable investment climate, low taxes, conditions for people to go to the domestic market of your country and engage in entrepreneurial activity. They exported something, created new jobs, the economy is becoming more flexible, and economic ties are improving. This is called capitalism, for now the capitalist economy can function in the same format and be effective, including as a self-regulating system.  
And when you seize the property of the state with one hand, forming state corporations, with the other hand you destroy small and medium business in every possible way, this is some kind of garbage that is not understandable, I do not even know what to call it correctly.  
For example, you can look at Cuba, to which the country can be brought by socialism. Although if we understand socialism as “direct proletarian democracy under a semi-decayed state, then of course Cuba is not a socialist state, but a quasi-socialist state.  
At the same time, supporters of the Cuban or North Korean version of socialism, they can always say that it is not socialism that is to blame for everything, but foreign sanctions, international pressure. That is, they always have a certain loophole.
 
“The problem about take out a loan, invest in a business. 2,It’s ture that U.S.S.R developed into state monopoly capitalism after Khrushchev come to power.I’ve said that “MOST of the country in the world are using State monopoly capitalism now”,so nothing is changed.  
If someone goes bankrupt, these are not only his problems.Enterprise mergers and bankruptcies are the inevitable result of market competition.It is related to the market economy, not to the social system.”

 
Of course, that is, if we look at the history of capitalist societies of the 20th century, and not only of the 20th century. Then we will find that most of the developed economies were not pure free markets in a spherical vacuum. And all the same, these were mixed economic systems. That is, developed economic systems, if we are talking about the modern American, Chinese economy, about what is happening in Europe. This is still not a pure market or a pure government plan. And these are still mixed economies that include elements of the public sector and elements of the private sector.  
Therefore, I do not understand the essence of these claims, yes, state capitalism) Because if we are talking about pure capitalism in a spherical vacuum, then only anarcho-capitalists stand for it. I don’t really believe in a free economy in a spherical vacuum, because there are always internal and external factors that affect the behavior and interaction of different economic agents. Therefore, to say that the economy can be absolutely free is, well, at least strange.  
At the same time, I act as an opponent of 100% of some state plan, as, for example, in the Soviet Union in its not best years, or in North Korea under Kim Il Sung, some sort.
 
Yes, the elements of the state plan are, of course, present in the capitalist countries, moreover, every private corporation that acts as a subject of economic relations within the capitalist economy, of course, there are elements of economic planning. But people who criticize the state plan, their criticism is mostly directed not at the planning elements that can exist under capitalism, the criticism is aimed at the possible creation of an economic system where, apart from the state plan, there will be nothing, 100% planned economy, in fact there are problems with this.  
And the fact that any modern economy is multi-structured and the public sector in the economy of a number of countries, in my opinion, there are no problems.
 
It is precisely the system where state capitalist or quasi-socialist countries are criticized that are completely based on a planned economy, where there are no market elements. That is, a 100% state plan. (For example, the beggar USSR)
 
Yes, capitalist monopoly is bad, so it must be replaced with a socialist monopoly! That is, the monopoly is so terrible that even more monopoly is needed !!))  
The problem is that those who propose to fight the monopoly, they do not propose to prohibit large companies from investing in science.
 
 
“Here comes a long text from the third paragraph”
 
A private owner not only makes a profit from this, in order to extract this profit he creates all of this. + If you do not have economic competition, then you have different economic agents, they will not compete for the consumer. It is the competition for the consumer that makes us improve the quality of our services and reduce the cost. As opponents of capitalism, they don’t understand this basic thing, I’m just surprised. O_o  
Sorry, but I’m just too lazy to answer such simple things, for this reason, I probably didn’t talk to you for so long..
 
“For example, the owner of a convenience store, the goods in the convenience store are his means of production. He sells goods to make money.”
 
  • Okay, do you think this is bad? well .. that’s right, small business needs to be developed.
     
    “He hired several salesmen. The salespeople do not own the goods, they are the proletariat.”
     
  • And these hired workers should own the goods? what is the problem?
     
    “The bourgeoisie promotes the development of productive forces and accumulates capital through unequal exchange of production methods”
     
  • Lol, “Bourgeoisie” it sounds from the lips of the communists as a stigma and an insult)) no, I’ll call him easier, this is the director of the company, the owner of the store, yes, he makes more money than the store employees he hired, they do different work, each different responsibilities and different responsibilities. Do you think the store owner is obliged to share the profits equally?
     
    “The bourgeoisie uses the proletariat to sell their productivity.”
     
  • Okay, so what’s the problem? I do not understand much in this Marxist axiomatics, I would rather speak in simple words, here the store owner hired additional employees as assistants to sell products, the owner keeps most of the profit for himself.  
    Okay, I realized that in your understanding the bourgeoisie and the proletariat, but it rather sounds like a propaganda slogan.
     
     
    “The proletariat is used and used by the capitalists by selling their productive forces, while the proletariat is used by the capitalists when they purchase daily necessities on the market. In the development process, it has mastered the technology and management methods of participating in market competition, and has used revolutionary or peaceful means to seize power. In order to seek political and economic independence and equal and balanced rights with the capital class.
     
    The main contradiction to be resolved is how to reduce the exploitation of excessive profits, balance the distribution of benefits, reduce polarization and ultimately change the status of the proletariat to control power. While maintaining a certain degree of unequal exchange, private ownership, and capital accumulation, it promotes the development of productive forces.”
     
I seemed to have read a passage from the Bible from a believing person, some kind of sectarian rhetoric, is it dialectics in the course of half a century? this is some kind of sectarian rhetoric that is not based on anything.  
By the way, for me Marx is not an authority, because he is not an economist, he does not understand anything about it. Marx was Doctor of Philosophy.
 
You also say that “the collapse of capitalism is inevitable” So say everyone who stands on the Marxist platform and holds the book of Marx in his hands instead of the Bible.
 
Well, you know, there are such people called Christians, they have been saying for 2000 years that the end of the world is coming soon, Jesus will come to judge everyone, there are all sorts of Adventists and so on. And it all started from the time of the 5th century, of course, before that it was all, just in the fifth century, exiled to Patmas Titon Flaen by Domincian John the theologian, he wrote the text of the Apocalypse where he described what would happen at the end of times, the end of the world. There, too, it was described that the sun will go out, the moon will turn blood red and the four horsemen of the apocalypse, all people will die and hell will open up, all sorts of monsters will climb out there. And people for 2000 years have been sitting and in suspense awaiting the last times that now everything will come, if this week did not come true, then next week the whole world will definitely end. Jesus will fly and judge everyone.
 
The same thing with the communists, the same absolutely iskhatological hysteria, that is, now there is not much and … the collapse of capitalism, everything will perish, then small business will perish, the crisis of overproduction, people will eat each other, in the end it means the proletarians will unite, overthrow capitalism, everyone will be tried and shot in the end, probably. Well, okay great, let’s wait 2,000 years for this to happen, or how long should we wait? It can be 100 years old or 50 years old. Firstly, there are no specific forecasts when this should happen, firstly we do not see any prerequisites for this, because since the time when the collapse of capitalism was predicted for the first time, even by Karl Marx, the number of economic agents, the number of subjects of the capitalist economy, it has not decreased, but it has only increased … But at the same time, back in the 19th century, we were promised that, well, capitalism, it seems, is collapsing, that is, big players devour the smaller ones and squeeze them out of the market, small business goes bankrupt, the power of capital is concentrated in the hands of the Aligapolias, that’s all, capitalism is over, capitalism itself breeds its own graves.  
But the problem is that throughout the 20th century, capitalism developed in a completely different direction, and not in the one described by Marx, and accordingly, the number of subjects of the capitalist economy, on the contrary, only increases on the contrary. And the processes within capitalism are not only the process of ruining small business, but it is also the process of dividing the Aligapolia and they are also ruined, leaving the market and so on. Where is Ford now? where is his empire now, now it is just one of the automobile concerns like many others. Where is the British Ostyn tea company now? which has concentrated gigantic capital in its hands, it is not there now, it has disappeared.  
A lot of examples can be cited, under capitalism, including all sorts of monopolies, they can completely ruin themselves, divide, split up, concede their market share to competitors and so on.  
That is, it is a kind of dynamic self-regulating process.
 
 
“This is the birth of the socialist system,and what we should do now.The bourgeoisie is no longer suitable for the ruling class.The proletariat holds power, and all classes are equal.”  
Yes, by proletariat you mean the partocracy, the hegemon class  
Yes, the bourgeois state is bad)) but if the state is socialist, the dictatorship of the proletariat, and the dictatorship, I remind it not by anyone or what unlimited power, then everything will be fine and good))) There will be only one subject of economic relations, this is the proletarian fuck a state that will produce everything for us, from computers to socks. And then everything will be fine, everything will be even and all products will be of perfect quality. Why? what is this statement based on? but because Jesus said so, you just have to believe, let’s all listen to Jesus and the Bible.
 
That is, you sincerely believe that market competition is not needed because capitalism is bad, but if there are no different economic agents that compete with each other for the consumer, there will be only one economic agent that will produce absolutely everything, no competition but a single monopoly in the form of a state (and the state is the proletariat) then everything will be fine))
 
Well, the experience of the 20th century for people like you is apparently not relevant, you ignore it, give a fuck about history and practice. Or you can say that everything that happened in the socialist countries is not correct socialism, but in the future it will be correct.
 
 
—————————–  
p.s. By the way, I love China, I like capitalism in this country, and as I see there is no socialism there, thanks to this, China has tremendous economic growth. In fact, I envy China, I would like the same growth in the economy in Russia (but the government in my old age is mediocre and does nothing)  
Although .. I do not agree with some of China’s policies, for example, I am for the freedom of Hong Kong, and I am for the freedom of Tibet. In other cases, I really like China.
 
p.p.s. By the way, I love the Russian Empire more, the country in which I live would have developed even more in terms of economy if the Bolsheviks had not come who illegally seized power and staged a bloody terror in Russia.
nongsini112

@Krunched  
That’s right,we need to develop science and technology.
 
But we must first eliminate hegemonism and power politics so that the fruits of technological progress can benefit all mankind.
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@nongsini112  
Your final point does not work when artificial intelligence is used for automation. That leaves large portions are f a population unemployable due to either a lack of skills/experience, or a lack of available jobs; which means there is no way for them to earn money. Yes, capitalism has worked; but that doesn’t mean that it will always work. With large portions of the population made redundant because of technology, capitalism fails. Communism can actually succeed in that case.