Don't blame me, I voted for the other guy. (Politics General)

Why are Red Voters holding back until Election Day?

Biden is winning by 9 points, and it’s only a week until the election.

@CaptainXtra
 
Everyone typically holds back until Election Day. Difference is this time is that Covid makes that dangerous, so the party that thinks Covid is real is taking the safer options while the party that thinks its a hoax ain’t changing.

@Dustcan  
Word is that Trump is placing his final bets on Michigan, Minnesota, Ohio, and Pennsylvania.
 
What’s his current status in those states?

@Vivace  
So, you agree with me.

Trump is pulling ads out of Florida because his campaign is running out of money.
 
It’s not looking good for Trump. Biden needs to capitalize by campaigning in Florida.

@Background Pony #0FE4  
Can’t he just re-run some old ads and hope noone’s the wiser?

@Goku Black  
He doesn’t have the money for it. Instead he is having his Super Spreader events.
 
@CaptainXtra  
He’s losing all of those states.

@Flutter_Lover
 
Good luck with that. The CCP has 91,914,000 members and who knows how many supporters. Probably not even atomic bombs will help. Firstly, you would have to use these weapons against the civilian population and secondly, you would have to use (as I guess) so many of them that would give the rest to the global climate.
 
I fear, like in Belarus, that one has to wait for the revolution to come from the citizens of China itself at some point, or to come to some kind of agreement with the CCP. Anger and frustration really don’t help at all.
 
The only thing that will protect us from a threat like Covid-19 in the future are better health, health care and social concepts. Which takes into account the needs of ordinary people, for example, what happens when children are not allowed to go back to school, or what happens when you have to stay away from work for too long. But in order to do this, we would have to reconcile our economic interests with the lives of the civilian population and boy… This is just as funny as bringing advocates and opponents of abortion to the same table. And all this under the (dis)guise of peace and freedom.
 
I’d love to laugh if it wasn’t so damn sad and serious.
 
@Background Pony #3364
 
Thank you for your comment and I appreciate it. ;-)

Some on Twitter are saying Trump campaigning in Minnesota is a good strategy because Minnesota is within reach for Trump.
 
Um, no, it’s not? Trump is losing by 10 points.

@CaptainXtra  
Ohio is the most uncertain (Trump might just be able to snatch that one by the skin of his teeth if his current 1.5 point lead in the polls holds true — which, according to FiveThirtyEight, he currently has a 58% and increasing chance to do), otherwise Biden is almost guaranteed to win the remaining three (his second best hope was for Pennsylvania, where he still had a 32% chance of winning two months ago; now it fell to barely 15%).

@CaptainXtra  
I’m not advocating war on China….

@Ereiam  
But if Biden takes all three, it’s game over. The incumbent needs to flip some unlikely states if he’s going to reach 270.

The Potsdam historian Sönke Neitzel has hidden the explosive nature very well in his new spectacular military history: “German Warriors: From the Empire to the Berlin Republic”.
 
A 800-page study, in which Neitzel depicts the German “war culture”. In this context, he asks what a lieutenant of the Empire, an officer of the Wehrmacht and a platoon leader of the Kunduz Task Force of the year 2010 have in common. Are there continuities in military thinking and action?
 
Does the Federal Republic of Germany still wants armed forces, “democratic warriors”, who are really capable of intensive battles against highly-equipped opponents (which would require a completely different equipment of the Bundeswehr today)? Or does it want to commit itself, without fighting forces, to the role of a true civil power and “global social worker”?
 
I would now be able to get extremely upset about the various aspects of this book. It is not that I do not support the theses contained therein with full conviction. I would like to quote just one sentence from this: “Even we don’t tell everything about Afghanistan”, said Jörg Vollmer, twice an ISAF regional commander.
 
Modern warfare in a nutshell. Is 100% consistent with my personal experience.

@Flutter_Lover  
What would you want the US State Secretary to do against them then?  
Not that Pompeo and Trump had better luck when it came to “take care” of North Korea, which is now back to being just as insufferable as they were four years ago. That “fire and fury” turned out to be just a bunch of hot air after all…

Trump would never do any actual move against China, or Russia for that matter. That would involve actually speaking to Xi or Putin, or at least one of their diplomats, and Trump is incapable of speaking with anyone that isn’t a complete sycophant or that he can safely insult and ignore. He’d cave in seconds and turn into a whimpering mess, assuming he doesn’t just run away first.
 
He talks big about being hard with “Russia”, “China”, “North Korea”, but the prospect of actually facing up to their leaders or talk ill of their regimes by name terrifies him.

@Background Pony #68DC  
I’m pretty sure you misunderstood. If filibusters and cloture (a process to end filibusters) are both accepted procedures, how is one radical but the other isn’t?

The youth vote is showing signs of being at or above 2018 levels.
 
Why is this important? By the by, youth voters are the hardest to capture in polling. They’ve more mobile, lack landlines, have less permanent PO boxes, and are generally less likely to answer unsolicited phone calls.
 
This means they tend to be heavily under-sampled in pre-election polling. What data we do have based on past elections, trends, and opinion research suggest that Gen Y and Z are significantly more liberal than the previous gens. Gen Z was looking more conservative than Gen Y when major polling first started to be done in 2014, but that trend has largely reversed. Moreover, conservative gen Z voters are more motivated by climate change and racial issues, and less motivated by religious issues and abortion than previous generations of conservatives.
 
Nothing is set in stone, but the youth vote mirroring or exceeding 2018 would be very good news for Biden and very bad news for Trump.

@Vivace  
Oh I’m not saying either is radical. I’m saying changing the current cloture rules would be radical.

I know that everyone’s talking about China or the Election but I felt like saying this:
 
You can debate on if Socialism/Communism can ever work.
 
What cannot be debated is that Stalin was a murderous tyrant.
 
Yeah, I still run into the occasional Stalin apologist, usually on Reddit.
 
Why, just why are they a thing?

@CaptainXtra  
Like neonazis and diehard Trump supporters, tankies live in a world of their own.

@CaptainXtra
 
@Ereiam  
On a related note, i feel like there is often WAY too much in-fighting within Leftist/left-leaning communities, and everyone has splintered into their own groups and attack anyone for going even slightly away from the general opinion, and be labelled as a “neolib/conservative” for not being a “true” leftist.
 
Like this infighting and splintering into a million different groups helps nobody, because everyone in theory should have a common goal to be working towards.
 
(im saying that was someone who feels pretty liberal/left-leaning, this is just something i have noticed a lot on the internet, including on this site/thread too)

@Background Pony #1F81
 
This problem specifically is that neolibs do not approve of violence or fighting fire with fire. The problem I have as an anarchist is that my end goal is much different from the commies. Fuck them. That’s my leftist infighting.