Don't blame me, I voted for the other guy. (Politics General)

@Zincy
I’m doing just fine honestly.

More news on Elon Musk. He denies giving Trump 45M a month. And said it was fiction made up by WSJ.

Oh Elon if you didn’t tweet it on your website then people wouldn’t notice it.

Fingers crossed for her to become Laughin’ All the Way to the Oval Office Kamala.

Reports indicate Josh Shapiro is now the frontrunner for Harris VP.

@Dustcan
is he a better Shapiro then ben?

@igotnopicks
God help us from Elon running for president someday. He’s just a younger, more techy version of Trump at this point. It’s a good thing his South-African birth makes him ineligible.

@Angrybrony
yes.

@Ereiam
He can’t run for president. He isn’t a natural born citizen.

@igotnopicks
Than why post it in the first place? Musk truly is a man with more cash than brains.

I’m on the fence about anyone currently serving being tapped. No guarantee that we’d hold the seat in the inevitable special election.

Which is why I still would prefer Roy Cooper. He’s popular, from a swing states, and is term limited and outgoing.

By all indications he will undo all the hard work Benji has done to make the name terrible, yes.

He’s a pretty popular governor of Pennsylvania, so if he’s the veep then PA is likely cinched in for Dems. That’s a critical swing state that you can’t really afford to lose.

He’s also got a history as a prosecutor, same as Kamala. That’ll throw the Back the Blue types for another loop. He also fought against Trump’s attempts to overturn PA going to Biden in 2020, so he’s also got that going for him.

His term ends in 2027.

I don’t know if he’s term limited or if he can go for a re-election, but as it stands his current run would be close to over anyway.

Was gonna say Cooper would be a better pick than Shapiro. Also I don’t know what Cooper’s stance on Gaza is, but to my knowledge Shapiro’s got a Zionist streak.

Speaking of which, Netanyahu’s address is being well received by Congressional Republicans and some Democrats. He got an extended standing ovation after he directly compared October 7 to Pearl Harbor said that Gays for Gaza should change their name to “Chickens for KFC.”

Mmhmm, as if these people haven’t been lecturing us about how Hamas wants to kill us since this all started.

But anyways, about 40 Democrats are boycotting Bibi’s address, including most of the Squad, Jayapal, Bernie Sanders, and surprisingly several top Democrats including Pelosi and Clyburn. Harris has passed on attending in favor of holding a rally at a historically Black sorority in Indianapolis.

@Zincy
At least for Trump vs Biden, Pennsylvania was considered most likely to be the tipping point state, so it might be worth the risk to increase chances there and nearby rust belt states. Her being black could galvanize black voters in the south by itself.

A fair point.

And I’d rather a governor go than a senator.

As much as I like Kelly, for example, I like him more where he’s at. We absolut-so-fucking-lutly need to hold the senate regardless of who wins the WH.

Senate is going to be tough to keep.

At 51-49, best case scenario is that Dems keep the WH so they can have a margin of error of 1. If they lose 2 seats or lose 1 plus the WH then they lose the Senate.

Problem? Dems are defending 23 seats to Reps defending 11 this time around. Getting into the gritty and comparing individual races is too advanced for me, but just on the numbers game alone Dems have more than twice the number of chances to lose than Reps.

Control of the House of Representatives is always a coin toss so hard to predict there. But with the shit show this current Rep controlled has been I’m going to go out on a limb and say Dems could flip the minimum 5 or so seats needed to take it back. It being a Presidential Election while the Dems are in charge does give them that advantage.

So yeah my armchair analysis right now is that both chambers of Congress is likely to flip to the other party. The WH is still anyone’s game.

@Zincy
Yeah I think Kelly staying Senator of Arizona is a good option. and this Shapiro guy would be VP choice. It’s still up in the air of who she will choose.

Also there’s an article. going around that says Beyonce and Taylor Swift are hosting a monumental fundraising concert in support of Kamala Harris. So yeah there’s that.

There’s only really a few of those that are competitive.

Ohio, Montana, and Arizona specifically. Maryland had the potential to be, Nevada has the potential to be, and West VA is a lost cause.

Arizona and Montana have very popular dem incumbents that consistently ran ahead of Biden and are very likely to keep that trend. Both states also have abortion amendments on the ballot which will help immensely.

Ohio has a popular incumbent, and has an anti-gerrymandereding amendment on the ballot which will help somewhat.

Nevada and Maryland both have abortion amendments, with the former having a mildly popular incumbent. Nevada has polled a bit toward Trump, but is still considered lean blue and Harris will have a better time holding it. Maryland is hard blue, but Hogan is a popular moderate so some folk gave him a fighting chance (especially with a wounded Biden). But his stances on abortion and gay rights, plus Harris at the top (Maryland has a very large population of African Americans with college degrees, and is home to part of Harris’s alum mater) puts it out of reach as far as I’m concerned.

So while the raw math is bad for Dems, the micro-forces are a bit more favorable for them.

Saw that coming.

I’ve met their national president, he’s pretty “ride or die” with the Dems a lot of the time.

Harris is one of the most qualified candidates ever. She was a District Attorney, an Attorney General, a US Senator, and Vice President.

I still think the Democrats are getting WAY too confident in Harris. Like, this feels like a repeat of history when they backed Hillary without much objections. Seriously, these organizations and politicians are throwing their support without any second thoughts.

It just feels like this is going to be a 2016-style humiliation, where everyone thought Hillary was going to win, but Trump shockingly won.

This is my opinion, of course.

I know some folks also considered New Jersey a longshot GOP pickup opportunity due to Bob Menendez’s independent run to keep his seat, but that got dashed after he resigned and ended his reelection bid.

Here’s hoping that the wave of optimism keeps up through the rest of the year!

Harris has NOWHERE NEAR the baggage that Hillary had.

In any case, the Harris campaign should take great care to not make mistakes similar to that of Hillary’s.

@Background Pony #F6E5
There’s not much else to do at this point, it’s just too late for a “proper primary”:

Ultimately there wasn’t any other “obvious choice” if Biden backed out, that was one of the main talking points since it became clear that he should a month ago.